The Three Types of Risk-Off

The Three Types of Risk-Off

July 2, 2026 · 24 min · Episode 260

About this episode

Dean Curnutt discusses the causes and types of risk-off events in investing, emphasizing their implications for market stability.

What causes significant risk-off events? Can they be anticipated to any degree? Understanding the how and why of these episodes is critical for investors seeking to avoid drawdowns. In this short podcast, I share how I think about episodes of risk-off, with particular attention to the interaction between stock and bond prices — before, during, and after market vol events. I outline three type of risk-off: the classic, the taper, and the liquidation, and provide examples of each. I also propose a fourth, in which the US Treasury market is itself the source of global instability. I hope you find this discussion useful and I wish you an excellent July 4th holiday.

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