Mantic Monday: Groundhog Day

Mantic Monday: Groundhog Day

From Astral Codex Ten Podcast by Jeremiah

April 2, 2026 · 31 min

About this episode

The episode discusses the Pentagon's unprecedented designation of AI company Anthropic as a supply chain risk and its implications for the business.

Having Your Own Government Try To Destroy You Is (At Least Temporarily) Good For Business On Friday, the Pentagon declared AI company Anthropic a "supply chain risk", a designation never before given to an American company. This unprecedented move was seen as an attempt to punish, maybe destroy the company. How effective was it? Anthropic isn't publicly traded, so we turn to the prediction markets. Ventuals.com has a "perpetual future" on Anthropic stock, a complicated instrument attempting to track the company's valuation, to be resolved at the IPO. Here's what they've got: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/mantic-monday-groundhog-day

People in this episode

Host: Jeremiah

Topics covered

  • AI
  • government regulation
  • business impact
  • prediction markets
  • supply chain risk

Keywords

  • Pentagon
  • Anthropic
  • AI
  • supply chain risk
  • prediction markets
  • business

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Pentagon, Anthropic, Ventuals.com

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