Why the falling US dollar is igniting a massive emerging market supercycle

Why the falling US dollar is igniting a massive emerging market supercycle

April 14, 2026 · 42 min

About this episode

The episode discusses the implications of the falling US dollar on emerging markets, featuring insights from experts on global growth engines India and China.

2025 was a record-breaking year for Emerging Markets, seeing the largest capital inflows in over a decade. But is this a short-term flight from the US dollar, or the beginning of a structural "EM Supercycle"? In this episode, we sit down with Malcolm Dorson (Senior PM & Head of EM Strategy) and Billy Leung (Equity Research Analyst) from Global X to dissect the two engines of global growth: India and China. We explore why the "uninvestable" tag is fading from China, how India is carving a unique path through its landmark 2026 Free Trade Agreement with Europe, and why a 1% drop in the US dollar could be the most important signal for your portfolio. In this episode we cover: The Great EM Rotation The "February Surge": Breaking down why we just saw the largest inflows into EM in 11 years. Is it "choice" or a "flight from the US"? Early Innings: Exploring Global X’s thesis on whether we are at the start of a multi-year Emerging Market cycle. The 3.1% Rule: The Dollar & EM The Inverse Relationship: Understanding the mechanics of why EM equities historically rise 3.1% for every 1% drop in the US dollar. Currency Risk: How to manage FX volatility when investing in volatile regions…

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