Budget shock for property investors, rents and house prices

Budget shock for property investors, rents and house prices

May 13, 2026 · 55 min

About this episode

Pete Wargent and Chris Bates discuss the implications of the recent Federal Budget on Australia's housing market and property investment strategies.

In this 2 Sense episode of the Australian Property Podcast, Pete Wargent and Chris Bates react to a Federal Budget that could reshape Australia’s housing market faster than many investors expect. Recording the morning after the announcement, they break down the headline changes: negative gearing being restricted to new builds from 1 July 2027, a tougher capital gains tax regime, and a new minimum tax rate on trusts. But the real focus is what those changes do to behaviour. Pete and Chris unpack why investor borrowing capacity could be hit, why established-property demand may soften, and why areas with heavy investor ownership could feel the pressure first. The episode also looks at the flow-on effects for rents, first-home buyers and housing supply. With vacancy rates already tight and rates still elevated, the pair explain why the market could split further between scarce owner-occupier-grade assets and investor-led stock such as some apartments and regional hotspots. They also discuss the likely policy response, including a bigger role for the 5% deposit scheme as government tries to keep demand from falling too hard. If you want a practical conversation about what the Budget…

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