Fuel shock inflation and higher rates are pushing Australia’s housing to a tipping point
About this episode
The episode discusses the impact of rising fuel prices and inflation on the Australian housing market and offers insights for buyers and investors.
Pete Wargent and Chris Bates break down the latest fuel shock, rising inflation risk and shifting rate expectations, and what it means for the Australian property market. They connect the macro pressure to what is happening on the ground — tighter listings, rising build costs, weaker sentiment and the early signs of a split market — and outline how buyers, sellers and investors can navigate what could be a difficult stretch into late 2026. Together they discuss – Fuel shock intensifying: shortages emerging and diesel pushing above $3 per litre– Fuel excise cut unlikely to offset rising costs as supply remains constrained– Markets now pricing rates toward 4.6% – 4.85%, with further hikes expected before easing– Build feasibility deteriorating– Consumer confidence collapsing– Two-speed market forming: entry-level demand holding, premium segments weakening– Housing shortfall widening– Listener Q&A: portfolio strategy and capital allocation in uncertain conditions Resources for this episode Ask a question (select the Property podcast) Rask Resources Pete's Buyers Agency Alcove mortgage broking Amy Lunardi Buyers Agency (Melbourne) All services Financial Planning Invest with us…
People in this episode
Host: Pete Wargent
Guest: Chris Bates
Topics covered
- fuel shock
- inflation
- housing market
- interest rates
- consumer confidence
- property investment
Keywords
- fuel shock
- inflation risk
- housing market
- interest rates
- consumer confidence
- property investment
- market trends
Mentioned in this episode
Organizations: Rask
Places: Australia, Melbourne
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