Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

Inside the economics of OpenAI (exclusive research)

From Azeem Azhar's Exponential View by Azeem Azhar

February 13, 2026 · 50 min · Episode 100

About this episode

The episode explores the economic viability of AI companies, focusing on OpenAI's financials and R&D costs.

In this episode, I'm joined by Jaime Sevilla, founder of Epoch AI; Hannah Petrovic from my team at Exponential View; and financial journalist Matt Robinson from AI Street. Together we investigate a fundamental question: do the economics of AI companies actually work? We analysed OpenAI's financials from public data to examine whether their revenues can sustain the staggering R&D costs of frontier models. The findings reveal a picture far more precarious than many assume; we also explore where the real infrastructure bottlenecks lie, why compute demand will dwarf energy constraints, and what the rise of long-running agentic workloads means for the entire industry.

People in this episode

Guests: Jaime Sevilla, Hannah Petrovic, Matt Robinson

Topics covered

  • economics
  • AI
  • technology
  • business
  • research

Keywords

  • OpenAI
  • financial analysis
  • R&D costs
  • infrastructure bottlenecks
  • compute demand
  • agentic workloads

Mentioned in this episode

Products: OpenAI

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