Will Prediction Markets Turn Everything, Including Military Ops, into a Bet; Also, How the Phases of Brain Aging Align With, and Divert from, Modern Cultural Practices

Will Prediction Markets Turn Everything, Including Military Ops, into a Bet; Also, How the Phases of Brain Aging Align With, and Divert from, Modern Cultural Practices

From Call It Like I See It by James Keys, Tunde Ogunlana

April 29, 2026 · 43 min · Episode 364

About this episode

The episode discusses the implications of prediction markets on society and explores the phases of brain aging in relation to modern cultural practices.

James Keys and Tunde Ogunlana discuss the story of the US soldier that is being charged for using confidential insider information to win bets about the capture of Maduro on the prediction market platform Polymarket and consider the risks that society faces as prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi seem to be turning the whole world into a casino. The guys then react to recent research on extent to which our brains progress through stages like childhood, adolescence (which lasts surprising long!), adult, and old age, and consider how society should use this type of information. Soldier Charged After Using Classified Intel On Maduro Raid To Win $400,000 On Polymarket (Forbes) Kalshi CEO outlines the difference between prediction markets and sportsbooks (ProFootballTalk) U.S. CFTC adds New York to string of states its suing to stop prediction market pushback (Coindesk) Brazil blocks prediction platforms, tightens rules to curb 'bet-like' products (Reuters) Billionaire Investor Warns Sports Prediction Markets Harm Men (Yahoo! Finance) The key phases your brain changes – and how to protect it (The Telegraph) (Apple News Link)

People in this episode

Hosts: James Keys, Tunde Ogunlana

Topics covered

  • prediction markets
  • military operations
  • brain aging
  • cultural practices
  • societal risks

Keywords

  • prediction markets
  • military operations
  • brain aging
  • societal risks
  • cultural practices
  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
  • insider information
  • betting

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Polymarket, Kalshi, Forbes, ProFootballTalk, Coindesk, Reuters, Yahoo! Finance, The Telegraph

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