About this episode

Rob Pizzola reacts to Chris "Flup" Dierkes' insights on handling significant losses in sports betting.

Rob Pizzola reacts live to Chris "Flup" Dierkes' viral Substack post detailing a multi-million dollar downswing — and what it actually takes to trust your process through it. Flup, one of the sharpest bettors in the game and a Circle Back regular, wrote candidly about adverse selection, the difference between ego and confidence, spotting real edge vs. variance, closing line value, tilt, and why "just a skill issue" isn't the full story on getting limited. Rob goes section by section, agreeing in some spots, pushing back hard in others — especially on the debate over grinding through a downswing vs. stepping away, and whether getting limited really is just a skill issue. If you've ever doubted your process after a rough stretch, this one's for you. 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 📖 Read Chris' article for yourself: https://substack.com/home/post/p-200069336 🔴 This Sports Betting Blog Called Out EVERYONE (Including Us): https://youtu.be/33j9gOpjuP4 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content…

People in this episode

Host: Rob Pizzola

Guest: Chris "Flup" Dierkes

Topics covered

• sports betting
• downswing
• trusting the process
• sharp bettors
• ego vs confidence
• variance
• closing line value

Keywords

• sharp bettor
• downswing
• sports prediction
• adverse selection
• tilt
• skill issue
• grinding

Sponsors

ProphetX

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