The Secret Edge in NFL Preseason Betting | Circle Back | Presented by ProphetX
About this episode
The episode discusses NFL preseason betting trends and reactions to recent events in the sports betting world.
NFL preseason line movement is under the microscope after a wild stretch of results: teams that have moved 1.5+ points or more on the spread this season are 0-8, and 23-51 since 2024, according to Big Al McMordie's numbers. That trend has reignited a fierce debate about whether closing line value still holds up as a betting principle, with some pointing to small sample sizes and starters entering games as the real driver behind the movement. Also on deck: reactions to Pat McAfee's surprise album release, plus the fallout from Circa CEO Derek Stevens' pointed comments questioning the legitimacy and tax structure of peer-to-peer prediction markets. Jacob Gramegna hosts this episode of Circle Back alongside Rob Pizzola and Geoff Fienberg for another edition of Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network. 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO…
People in this episode
Host: Jacob Gramegna
Guests: Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg
Topics covered
- NFL preseason betting
- line movement
- betting principles
- sports prediction markets
- Pat McAfee album
- Derek Stevens comments
Keywords
- NFL
- preseason
- betting
- line movement
- sports prediction
- Pat McAfee
- Derek Stevens
- ProphetX
Sponsors
ProphetX
Mentioned in this episode
Organizations: Circa, The Hammer Betting Network
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