Housing Market Outlook: Has the Slowdown Begun?

Housing Market Outlook: Has the Slowdown Begun?

June 9, 2026 · 29 min · Season 2 · Episode 15

About this episode

The episode discusses the potential slowdown in Australia's housing market with insights from CommBank economists.

Australia's housing market has remained remarkably resilient, but is the slowdown only just beginning? Host Mandy Drury speaks with CommBank Senior Economist Trent Saunders about the latest trends in the housing market and why sentiment is starting to weaken. They discuss softer auction clearance rates, longer selling times and how higher interest rates and recent housing tax reforms are weighing on buyer and investor confidence. They also explore why CommBank economists now expect house prices to remain broadly flat through 2026, what the changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax could mean for affordability and investment, and what could help stabilise the market as interest rates eventually begin to ease. Plus, CommBank’s Associate Economist Lucinda Jerogin shares the key focuses for markets in the week ahead. Important Information This podcast is approved and distributed by Global Economic & Markets Research (“GEMR”), a business division of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945 (“the Bank”). Before listening to this podcast, you are advised to read the full GEMR disclaimers, which can be found at…

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