Living with a 50% P(AI Doom) — Liron Shapira and Peter Clarke
About this episode
Liron Shapira discusses his views on AI doom and risk with Peter Clarke, exploring various aspects of existential risk and the implications of superintelligence.
Peter Clarke ( Team Futurism ) invited me on his podcast to probe the worldview of a Yudkowskian, and I ended up explaining how my 50% P(Doom) and 10% P(Foom) informs my choices. Peter and I met at LessOnline 2026, where he was one of the participants in a live Jubilee-style debate about x-risk. This one’s a little tamer, but we still cover plenty of ground, like: Why nuclear risk is underrated yet AI doom overshadows it; Why nobody at AI summits is appropriately freaked out; How Yudkowsky’s data center “airstrike” claim gets mischaracterized; Why a superintelligence that doesn’t already value humanity won’t spare us; And the “Icarus curve”, my techno-optimist forecast pre-superintelligence. Subscribe to the Team Futurism podcast — https://www.youtube.com/@teamfuturism3554 Timestamps 00:00:00 — Welcoming Liron on Team Futurism 00:00:38 — How Liron Got Yudkowsky-Pilled 00:04:11 — AI 2027 and the Next Qualitative Breakthrough 00:05:52 — What’s Your P(Doom)? 00:10:22 — Why Isn’t Everyone Freaked Out? 00:13:09 — How Should We Then Live? 00:16:22 — Setting the Record Straight on Yudkowsky’s “Airstrike” Claims 00:20:54 — Two Doom Buckets: Misuse vs. Rogue AI 00:24:25 — The Bioweapon…
More episodes of Doom Debates!
- Debating College Students About AI Extinction
- AI Took His Job, But He's Trying to Stay Optimistic — Debate with Asian Dad Energy
- Let's CALL OUT the AI Doom “Enablers” Joining OpenAI & Anthropic — Dr. Holly Elmore, PauseAI US
- Even 0.1% P(Doom) Is Unacceptable — World-Class Coder Casey Muratori
- Robert Wright's New Book, The God Test, Launches Today. What's His P(We Pass)?
- Will AI Actually Destroy Humanity? Liron vs 9 Rationalists at LessOnline 2026
Explore listener stats, chart rankings, contacts and more on the Doom Debates! podcast page.