The Fed Reset, Part 2: Markets Recalibrate

The Fed Reset, Part 2: Markets Recalibrate

July 1, 2026 · 5 min · Episode 170

About this episode

The episode discusses the market implications of the Fed's recent decisions and the longer-term effects on various economic factors.

In the second part of their conversation, host Aymeric Poizot and Fitch Chief Economist Brian Coulton turn to the market fallout from the latest FOMC meeting and what the Fed's reset means over the longer term. They unpack the bear-flattening of the Treasury curve, the role of falling oil prices and stretched equity valuations, and how a smaller Fed balance sheet, rising supply, and a higher term premium could keep yields elevated. The discussion closes with the credit implications of a "higher for longer” environment from leveraged borrowers and government debt to the pressures facing the housing market.

People in this episode

Host: Aymeric Poizot

Guest: Brian Coulton

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Organizations: Fitch Ratings

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