Prediction Markets with Alex McCullough

About this episode

The episode features a discussion with Alex McCullough about his research on prediction markets and their performance.

In this episode of Forecasting Impact, hosts Mariana Menchero and Laila Akhlaghi speak with Alex McCullough about his research on prediction markets, probabilistic forecasting, and the crypto ecosystem. He is best known for his work analyzing the accuracy of Polymarket, where he has built widely referenced dashboards to evaluate market calibration and performance. Through his analysis, Alex helps bring rigor and transparency to the discussion around how prediction markets perform as forecasti...

People in this episode

Hosts: Mariana Menchero, Laila Akhlaghi

Guest: Alex McCullough

Topics covered

• prediction markets
• probabilistic forecasting
• crypto ecosystem
• market calibration
• performance analysis

Keywords

• prediction markets
• probabilistic forecasting
• crypto
• Polymarket
• market performance
• forecasting

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Polymarket