
Noah Smith discusses the potential impacts of AI on the economy, including fears of financial crises and job market changes.
Noah Smith is a writer and Substack blogger behind Noahpinion , known for his contrarian, data-grounded takes on economics, technology, and geopolitics. What you'll learn: Why the viral Citrini "2028 Global Intelligence Crisis" post moved markets — and whether it should have The psychology behind why "AI causes 2008" scared Wall Street more than killer robots Why Noah thinks an AI-driven financial crisis is possible but unlikely How a productivity boom could paradoxically trigger a mild recession through "sticky prices" Why AI-enabled bioterrorism — not economic disruption — is Noah's biggest fear What Block's 4,000-person layoff and Mercury's hiring shifts reveal about AI's real impact on jobs Why software job losses in 2023-24 may have been driven by uncertainty, not AI capability Noah's take on deflation, GDP growth, and where inflation goes from here Why intellectual humility has been Noah's biggest edge as a forecaster The "dinosaur and the meteor" theory — why we're worrying about the economy while a much bigger threat flies overhead In this episode, we cover: (00:00) The meteor meme — AI's real threat vs. the economy (01:07) Introduction to Noah Smith (02:14) What the…
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