Operation Fun Run
About this episode
The episode discusses recent events in Iran, the implications of oil prices on global conflicts, and economic trends in Japan, along with a nod to the World Cup.
Iran again. Yes, again :( nobody's thrilled, but that's the content. The cousins break down a week of tanker attacks, retaliations to retaliations, and a 20% toll that became "great investments" in 24 hours. Marko's pitch: stop forecasting oil prices and start using them - they're an input, not an output. Jacob pushes back on who actually wants what. Then Japan, where rising yields and a yen at 162 have the macro world whispering about the carry trade. Plus a super El Niño, and the World Cup - because apparently the whole planet is rooting for England now. Rare. -- Timestamps: (00:00) - Welcome and agenda (00:36) - Iran flare-up timeline (03:28) - Why Iran escalates (06:59) - Oil prices drive conflict (20:24) - China signals and forecasts (23:18) - War 2.0 and Hormuz limits (28:46) - Rangebound Oil Equilibrium (30:33) - Hormuz Alternatives Rising (32:50) - Spiral Risk And CPI (36:18) - Trump Thesis And Forecasts (41:21) - World Cup Ref Drama (47:03) - Japan Yields And Global Spillovers -- Referenced in the Show: -- Geopolitical Cousins is produced and edited by Audiographies LLC. More information at audiographies.com -- Jacob Shapiro is a speaker, consultant, author, and…
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