E377: Midas List VC: Why Most VCs Miss the Biggest Companies

E377: Midas List VC: Why Most VCs Miss the Biggest Companies

May 27, 2026 · 44 min · Episode 377

About this episode

Niko Bonatsos discusses the timing of venture opportunities and the characteristics of successful founders.

What if the biggest venture returns are already gone by the time a category has a name? In this episode, I sit down with Niko Bonatsos, Founder and Managing Partner of Verdict, to discuss why the best venture opportunities emerge before consensus exists. Niko explains why “50% of the profits are made before a vertical even has a name,” how he identifies “freak” founders with extreme rates of learning, and why most VCs are structurally incentivized to follow momentum instead of creating conviction. We also explore why consumer and gaming are deeply undervalued today, how AI is changing company formation, and why relationship-building compounds harder than capital in venture investing.

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Host: David Weisburd

Guest: Niko Bonatsos

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Organizations: Verdict

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