
Who can stop insider trading on prediction markets?
From Make Me Smart by Marketplace
April 9, 2026 · 18 min · Episode 1551
About this episode
The episode discusses insider trading concerns on prediction markets, particularly in light of recent bets related to the Iran war.
A series of suspiciously well-timed Iran war bets placed on Polymarket have revived concerns about insider trading on prediction markets. But enforcement is something of a gray area. Marketplace’s Meghan McCarty Carino joins Kimberly to explain the relatively recent history of insider trading laws at the CFTC and what it could mean for prediction market platforms. Plus, the debate over whether insider trading on these markets is actually a good thing.
People in this episode
Host: Kimberly
Guest: Meghan McCarty Carino
Topics covered
- insider trading
- prediction markets
- CFTC
- Iran war bets
- market enforcement
Keywords
- insider trading
- prediction markets
- CFTC
- Polymarket
- Iran war bets
Mentioned in this episode
Organizations: CFTC, Polymarket
Places: Iran
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