Marine Le Pen’s comeback

Marine Le Pen’s comeback

July 9, 2026 · 32 min

About this episode

Mark Leonard discusses Marine Le Pen's candidacy for the 2027 presidential election with Célia Belin and Jeremy Cliffe.

This week, Mark Leonard welcomes Célia Belin , head of ECFR’s Paris office and senior policy fellow, and Jeremy Cliffe , ECFR’s editorial director and senior policy fellow, to discuss Marine Le Pen’s decision to run in France’s 2027 presidential election. After a Paris appeal court ruling rescinded her ban from holding public office, Le Pen has reasserted leadership of the far-right National Rally (RN) and sidelined Jordan Bardella, who was widely expected to lead the party into the 2027 election. Her announcement has led to rivals across the centre and the left recalibrating their strategies in an already volatile political landscape. Together, Mark, Célia and Jeremy explore how Le Pen’s candidacy changes France’s electoral outlook. They discuss whether she is a stronger candidate than Bardella, how French political parties are preparing for an election that RN enters as the favourite, and they draw on ECFR research to examine what an RN presidency could mean in practice. Would a Le Pen government seek confrontation with Brussels? How might it reshape France’s approach to migration, the EU budget and European integration? Could nationalist governments across Europe really…

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