What Do Politicians Think Motivates Voters?

What Do Politicians Think Motivates Voters?

January 1, 2026 · 55 min · Episode 152

About this episode

The episode explores the disconnect between politicians' perceptions of voter motivations and the actual views of voters, featuring insights from political scientist Jack Lucas.

Do politicians really understand what drives voters—or are they relying on flawed assumptions that could shape democracy in troubling ways? As we take some time off for the holidays, we wanted to re-share our episode with University of Calgary political scientist Jack Lucas, whose paper “Politicians’ Theories of Voting Behavior,” reveals striking gaps between how politicians perceive voters and how voters see themselves. While politicians often hold a cynical, “democratic realist” view of voters, citizens are far more optimistic about their own behavior. But who’s right—and does it even matter?

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