$100 Million a Day: Putin’s Iran War Windfall

$100 Million a Day: Putin’s Iran War Windfall

April 9, 2026 · 50 min

About this episode

The episode discusses Russia's strategic benefits from the Iran conflict and its implications for US foreign policy and Ukraine's security.

Russia may be issuing verbal condemnations from the sidelines of the conflict in Iran, but behind the scenes, it’s leveraging its relationship with Iran to give the US a “taste of its own medicine.” Former MI6 Chief Sir Richard Dearlove and Times Radio political editor Kate McCann sit down with Alexander Gabuev, director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, to discuss Russia’s calculated role in the escalating war in Iran. Gabuev explains why the US being preoccupied in fighting another Middle Eastern conflict is a “gift” to Putin, including how temporary sanctions relief and the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz boosts Russian oil revenues. Together, they also analyze the impact of the war on Ukraine’s security and energy infrastructure, as well as how continued economic strain and repression in Russia may limit its involvement in the conflict. In this episode: 01:35 – Why the Iran War helps Russia 04:17 – Oil shock and Russian windfall 16:48 – The Iran-Russia alliance 23:11 – Limits of Kremlin support 28:24 – Iran War knock-on effects for Ukraine 32:58 – Ukraine’s Gulf alliance strategy 38:05 – Russian public mood and repression 42:47 – One Decision: What’s Trump’s…

People in this episode

Hosts: Sir Richard Dearlove, Kate McCann

Guest: Alexander Gabuev

Topics covered

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, MI6

Places: Iran, Russia, US, Ukraine, Strait of Hormuz

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