The cocoa crash explained

The cocoa crash explained

February 9, 2026 · 13 min

About this episode

The episode discusses the recent 30% drop in cocoa futures due to various bearish factors affecting the market.

Cocoa futures in London and New York have had a rough start to the new year, plummeting 30% YTD following a wave of bearish fundamentals hitting the market in January. In this podcast, Carlos Mera and Oran van Dort discuss the latest crash, explaining the role of deteriorating demand, evidence of easing market tightness, favorable West African weather, and the significant influence of speculators, as well as the impact on the forward balance sheet and both the short- and long-term price outlook. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417272/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

People in this episode

Host: Carlos Mera

Guest: Oran van Dort

Topics covered

Keywords

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Rabobank RaboResearch

Places: West Africa

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