AI’s Edge in Hurricane Forecasting: Analyst Reaction

AI’s Edge in Hurricane Forecasting: Analyst Reaction

July 20, 2026 · 15 min

About this episode

The episode discusses how AI is transforming hurricane forecasting and its implications for energy markets.

Artificial intelligence is beginning to transform weather forecasting. New AI models are proving remarkably accurate at predicting hurricane tracks, in some cases matching or outperforming traditional forecasting models while delivering faster results. For energy markets, those gains could be significant. Earlier and more accurate forecasts give utilities, LNG exporters and offshore operators more time to prepare for approaching storms, improving resilience and reducing disruption. Yet AI is unlikely to replace traditional forecasting anytime soon, with meteorologists increasingly using it alongside conventional models to improve confidence in critical decisions. So how is AI changing the way we predict hurricanes, and what could that mean for energy markets as extreme weather becomes more common? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by Ryan Ward, an associate from BNEF’s weather team, to discuss his note “AI Models Show Edge in Tropical Cyclone Prediction.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from…

People in this episode

Host: Kamala Schelling

Guest: Ryan Ward

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Keywords

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: BNEF

Books & works: AI Models Show Edge in Tropical Cyclone Prediction

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