Election Analysis: Young Thais, Old Parties...New Tricks? [S8E32]

About this episode

Greg and Ed analyze the unexpected outcome of the recent Thai election and the factors leading to the conservative victory.

Tech Fail Alert! The last 5 minutes of our discussion was cut off by dastardly internet Gremlins, but we said most of what we wanted to say anyway. In a follow-up to the recent Thai election, Greg and Ed do their best to make sense of the unexpected outcome. Greg defers to Ed's poli sci knowledge, and Ed struggles through it despite his expertise being American politics. Before the election, polls indicate it was a three-horse race between the progressive faction, the Thaksin clan, and the conservative faction led by the current Prime Minister. Although the progressive faction was expected to grab a plurality, none of the three were expected to have the majority necessary to form a government - so the main question was going to be: Which two factions would team up? Alas, the conservative faction ended up with a decisive victory, upending many of the gains that the progressive faction made in the last election, especially in rural areas. The margin of victory was such that the issue of coalition-building was almost moot due to the plethora of small parties to build the majority. So what led to the conservative victory? Ed notes that the current Prime Minister capitalized on his…

People in this episode

Hosts: Greg Jorgensen, Ed Knuth

Topics covered

• Thai election
• political analysis
• progressive faction
• conservative faction
• coalition-building

Keywords

• Thai election
• politics
• conservative victory
• progressive faction
• coalition

Mentioned in this episode

Places: Thailand, Cambodia

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