Arizona Has 5 Toss-Up Races That Could Decide House Control — Here's Where the Money Is | The States

Arizona Has 5 Toss-Up Races That Could Decide House Control — Here's Where the Money Is | The States

July 17, 2026 · 28 min · Episode 197

About this episode

The episode discusses Arizona's toss-up House races, Tennessee's corporate incentives, and the impact of Canadian wildfires on air quality across several states.

Tennessee corporate incentives, Arizona primaries next week, and wildfires across Canada send smoke through several states. Tennessee has awarded more than $760 million in grants to about 585 companies over eight years to attract jobs, including a $30 million grant to Starbucks for a new Nashville headquarters, drawing criticism from groups calling the program "corporate welfare." The state has clawed back $92.4 million from 55 companies since 2016 across 71 enforcement actions, but is still owed $20.1 million from 18 companies, including a case where a company that got $3 million and created zero jobs saw its owners imprisoned on wire fraud charges. Also, in this episode: Nine Arizona House seats are up for election, with Republicans currently holding six to Democrats' three; districts 1 and 6 are considered toss-ups that could shift the narrow 219-seat Republican House majority. Fundraising varies widely by race — in District 5, Daniel Keenan ($1.8M) outraised Trump-endorsed Mark Lamb (under $800K), and in District 6, Democrat Joanna Mendoza ($6.4M) outraised Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani ($3.9M). Nearly 20 states have air quality alerts as smoke from over 180 Canadian…

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