Iran’s Tenacious Regime and the Future of the Gulf

Iran’s Tenacious Regime and the Future of the Gulf

March 12, 2026 · 1h 20m

About this episode

The episode discusses the impact of recent military actions against Iran and the future of its regime and the Gulf region.

For about two weeks, U.S. and Israeli forces have bombarded Iran. They have targeted Iranian military and nuclear sites. They have slain Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and other top Iranian officials. They have even sunk an Iranian vessel deep in the Indian Ocean. Iran has responded by hurling missiles and drones at targets in the Gulf, Israel, and elsewhere in what has become a surprisingly broad and sustained retaliation. U.S. President Donald Trump has promised Iranians some kind of regime change, but that will not be so simple. Iran has declared Khamenei’s son Mojtaba to be his successor, a move that seems to double down on the old order. In this two-part episode, Senior Editor Daniel Block spoke with leading experts on the course of the war, the future of the Iranian regime, and the upheaval and uncertainty in the wider region. First, Afshon Ostovar, an associate professor of national security affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School, explored how the Islamic Republic has been reshaped by the attacks—and what it would take to truly dismantle the regime. Then, Sanam Vakil, the director of the Middle East and North Africa program at Chatham House, discussed the widening remit of…

People in this episode

Host: Daniel Block

Guests: Afshon Ostovar, Sanam Vakil

Topics covered

Keywords

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Naval Postgraduate School, Chatham House

Places: Iran, Gulf, Israel, United States

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