Static, Not Strategic

Static, Not Strategic

From The Jacob Shapiro Podcast by Jacob Shapiro

May 14, 2026 · 58 min · Season 1 · Episode 341

About this episode

Sim Tack returns to discuss various global conflicts and their implications for security.

Our favorite military analyst, Sim Tack, returns to the pod to assess three different conflicts reshaping global security. In Ukraine, territorial gains are tactical, not strategic; Russian economic endurance remains the real variable. In Iran, a degraded military has reached a stalemate the U.S. and Israel cannot break without regime change. And in Mali, a jihadist advance is threatening to create a new territorial caliphate... with Russia's failed security guarantee quietly accelerating the collapse. -- Timestamps: (00:00) - Welcome (01:08) - Sim is Back (01:56) - Is the World Overwhelming? (04:23) - AI Briefings and Limits (06:10) - Drones and War Evolution (09:44) - Top Conflicts to Watch (11:59) - Ukraine Strikes and Oil Leverage (13:53) - Reality Check on Initiative (18:26) - Zelensky Endgame Options (23:28) - Russia Staying Power and Economy (26:15) - NATO Threat Question (26:46) - Russia Threat Timeline (27:53) - Can Russia Fight NATO (29:30) - Satellite Buildup Reality (30:23) - Europe Rearms Narrative (35:11) - Asymmetric Threat Debate (37:06) - Drones Cyber Article Five (41:11) - US Munitions Bottleneck (47:39) - Iran Stalemate Logic (50:27) - How Neutered Is Iran…

People in this episode

Host: Jacob Shapiro

Guest: Sim Tack

Topics covered

  • global security
  • military analysis
  • Ukraine conflict
  • Iran military
  • Mali jihadist surge
  • Russia's economy
  • NATO threats

Keywords

  • Ukraine
  • Iran
  • Mali
  • Russia
  • NATO
  • military analysis
  • global security
  • jihadist surge
  • economic endurance

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: AllSource Analysis, LinkedIn

Places: Ukraine, Iran, Mali, Russia, NATO, U.S., Israel

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