OIL: Random Number Generator

OIL: Random Number Generator

From The Macro Dirt Podcast by MacroDirt

March 12, 2026 · 24 min

About this episode

Tony Greer and Jared Dillian discuss the impact of war-driven volatility on various markets, including oil and equities, while exploring new trade ideas and trends in live events.

In this podcast, Tony Greer and Jared Dillian break down war-driven volatility across oil, equities, rates, and FX as markets struggle for direction. They discuss violent swings in crude around Strait of Hormuz headlines, S&P waterfall price action and relief rallies, AI-bubble risk versus structural bear-market triggers, and the confusing rotation across sectors from cybersecurity and solar strength to weakness in transports and housing. They also dig into bond market whipsaws, ECB policy reactions to inflation shocks, the dollar’s resistance battle, metals discounting geopolitical risk, energy stocks underperforming crude, and new contrarian trade ideas in beaten-down spirits companies. The conversation later shifts into live-event trends, Broadway nostalgia, and why real-world experiences are becoming the new luxury.

People in this episode

Guests: Tony Greer, Jared Dillian

Topics covered

  • oil market volatility
  • equities
  • FX
  • bond market
  • geopolitical risk
  • live-event trends
  • luxury experiences

Keywords

  • oil volatility
  • S&P price action
  • AI-bubble risk
  • bond market whipsaws
  • energy stocks
  • geopolitical risk
  • live events

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: ECB, Broadway

Places: Strait of Hormuz

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