7-9-26 Yield Curve Warnings - Signal or False Alarm
About this episode
The episode discusses the implications of yield curve flattening and market rotations on recession predictions.
Flattening yield curves, violent sector rotations, and shifting market leadership often trigger recession headlines—but do they really predict when markets will peak? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz look at why investors frequently confuse condition indicators with timing indicators. While yield curve flattening and rapid rotations between growth and value stocks can reveal that the market environment is changing, they don't tell you exactly when a recession or bear market will begin. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - Markets' Response to Hormuz Limbo 5:54 - Consolidation Patterns Remain Unchanged 11:24 - The Risk of Continuing Iran Conflict 14:58 - The Ambiguous Fed 16:43 - Chip Stocks' Behavior 18:16 - Market Volatility is Low 21:35 - SEC Rules Changes & Liquidity 23:24 - The Japanese Yen & Carry Trade 29:58 - Japan's "Trolly Car" Problem & Risk to U.S. 32:47 - Yield Curve Warnings 37:43 - Long- or Short-duration Bonds? 40:05 - What's the Real Yield? 42:00 - Why Own Bonds Now? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google…
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