How Complex do Models Need to be in 2026 & PM News Breaks Contain | Ep 153

How Complex do Models Need to be in 2026 & PM News Breaks Contain | Ep 153

April 29, 2026 · 2h 10m

About this episode

The episode discusses the differences between deterministic and probabilistic models in sports betting, along with recent news in the betting world.

Nerd alert. The main topic is a discussion on deterministic v. probabilistic models in the current betting environment. News includes the solider who bet on himself to capture a foreign leader and made $440k before getting arrested and a rant on the people complaining about FandDuels injury insurance. 0:00 Deterministic v. Stochastic Sports Models 26:00 News 1:05:15 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and Spor...

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