Why Some Stats Predict Better Than Others & Kalshi "Death Markets" | Ep 145
About this episode
The episode discusses predictive sports statistics and the Kalshi market related to Iran's leadership.
NERD ALERT!! We get back to our roots today and talk about how to go about finding stats that are predictive in sports modelling. The episode includes a deep dive into how Kalshi settled & communicated their "Khamenei out as leader" market. We touch on the issues w/ "last traded price" settlement and the similarities to the Cardi B. rules debacle. 0:00 Predictive Sports Stats 31:45 Iran Leader Kalshi Market 45:50 Rest of News. 54:00 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, host...
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