On The Record (07-07-26).

On The Record (07-07-26).

July 7, 2026 · 29 min

About this episode

The episode discusses the similarities and differences between the economic conditions of 2026 and the 2008 financial crisis, highlighting the risks in the financial system and the impact of AI on trading.

This week we asked whether 2026 is 2008 or something worse, and the answer is: different disease, same symptoms. The hiring freeze, the housing collapse, the credit stress all rhyme with the last crisis, but this time the economy is drowning in money that just isn’t moving, pooling at the top while the bottom quietly bleeds out. Then we pulled on the thread of where all that leverage actually lives, and found that the “safe” parts of the financial system—banks, money markets, insurers—are the ones funding the riskiest trades, all stacked on the same narrow AI bet. When it unwinds, the dampeners become the accelerants. Chapters Intro: 00:00:38 Quick Takes: 00:01:30 Max Notes: 00:08:43 Killer Left Take of the Week: 00:21:05 Chart of the Week: 00:23:01 Headlines: 00:27:41 Outro: 00:28:47 Resources Bloomberg Television: OpenAI Proposes Giving the US Government a 5% Stake, FT Says CNBC Television: Palantir CEO Alex Karp says ‘something has gone completely wrong’ with how AI is sold CBS News: Trump admits he called FIFA chief about Folarin Balogun’s red card: “That wasn’t a foul” Forbes Breaking News: Graham Platner…

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Organizations: Bloomberg Television, OpenAI, CNBC Television, CBS News, Forbes, The New York Times, MacroMicro, Truthdig

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