Why Our Rates Thesis Keeps Delivering

Why Our Rates Thesis Keeps Delivering

From What's Next For Markets by Michael Kantrowitz

May 31, 2026 · 16 min

About this episode

This episode discusses the shift from a growth-driven market framework to one influenced by interest rates and inflation.

In this episode, we unpack the profound shift reshaping markets: the transition from a growth-driven framework to one dominated by interest rates and inflation anxiety. What began in late 2023 as a simple observation—that falling rates lift equities while rising rates pressure them—has evolved into a full-blown regime change with deep historical parallels. We explore why “bad news” like softer economic data can now be bullish, how decades-old correlations have flipped, and what this means for...

People in this episode

Host: Michael Kantrowitz

Topics covered

  • interest rates
  • inflation
  • market shifts
  • economic data
  • equities

Keywords

  • interest rates
  • inflation anxiety
  • market regime change
  • economic data
  • equities

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