Emad Mostaque Has A 50% P(Doom) & A Plan To Lower It

Emad Mostaque Has A 50% P(Doom) & A Plan To Lower It

From Doom Debates! by Liron Shapira

April 21, 2026 · 1h 43m

About this episode

Emad Mostaque discusses the risks of AGI development and his plans to mitigate them through his new startup, Intelligent Internet.

Emad Mostaque helped kick off the modern AI revolution as the head of Stability AI, the company behind Stable Diffusion. Unlike most AI CEOs, he doesn't sugarcoat the risks of AGI development. He explains his 50% P(Doom), why we have less than 1,000 days to get our act together, and how his new startup, Intelligent Internet, aims to be a countervailing force against doom of all kinds. Timestamps 00:00:00 — Cold Open 00:00:39 — Introducing Emad Mostaque 00:02:08 — How Emad Got Involved in AI Development 00:05:46 — The 60-Second Pitch for Intelligent Internet 00:09:29 — What’s Your P(Doom)?™ 00:13:32 — Why ASI Doesn’t Need Massive Compute 00:15:56 — AGI Timelines: Cognitive Labor Going to Zero 00:17:29 — Is There a Ceiling Above Human Intelligence? 00:41:22 — Corporations as Slow, Dumb AIs 00:50:19 — Emad’s Mainline Doom Scenario 00:55:28 — Jailbreaks and “Mecha-Hitler” Latent Spaces 00:59:56 — The Last Economy: How to Navigate Economic Doom 01:08:57 — The Coming Unemployment Spike 01:15:13 — Why Isn’t Google Stock Mooning? 01:25:05 — Intelligent Internet as a Solution: Bitcoin for the Intelligence Age 01:33:13 — Can an Aligned Network Stop a Rogue ASI? 01:36:20 — Is the Pause AI…

People in this episode

Host: Liron Shapira

Guest: Emad Mostaque

Topics covered

  • AI development
  • AGI risks
  • economic implications
  • Intelligent Internet
  • corporate intelligence
  • unemployment

Keywords

  • AGI
  • P(Doom)
  • Stability AI
  • Intelligent Internet
  • economic doom
  • unemployment spike
  • AI risks

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Stability AI, Intelligent Internet, Google

Books & works: The Last Economy

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