Tech Spending Has a Cash Problem | Jim Paulsen on the Two Signals That Could Trigger a Correction

Tech Spending Has a Cash Problem | Jim Paulsen on the Two Signals That Could Trigger a Correction

From Excess Returns by Excess Returns

June 4, 2026 · 1h 2m

About this episode

Jim Paulsen discusses concerns about a potential stock market pullback and the implications of economic shifts.

Jim Paulsen returns to Excess Returns to discuss why he is increasingly concerned about a meaningful stock market pullback, even though he does not expect a bear market. We cover the extreme divide between AI-driven “new era” stocks and the rest of the market, what oil and inflation could mean for the Fed, why tech earnings and market leadership have become so concentrated, and what investors should watch as the economy potentially shifts from inflation fears to growth fears. Subscribe to the Jim Paulsen Show on Spotify⁠⁠ ⁠⁠Subscribe to the Jim Paulsen Show on Apple Podcasts Jim Paulsen on X https://x.com/jimwpaulsen Paulsen Perspectives https://paulsenperspectives.substack.com/ Topics Covered Why Jim thinks the economy could weaken into the summer and fall The risk of a sharp stock market pullback without a full bear market How inflation, oil prices and geopolitical conflict are affecting the market Why the Fed may face a difficult decision under Kevin Warsh The extreme divide between new era tech stocks and old era stocks Why AI and innovation need to benefit the broader economy to be sustainable How tech earnings have become concentrated in only two S&P 500 sectors Why…

People in this episode

Host: Excess Returns

Guest: Jim Paulsen

Topics covered

  • stock market pullback
  • AI-driven stocks
  • inflation and oil
  • tech earnings concentration
  • economic shifts
  • investor focus

Keywords

  • stock market
  • AI stocks
  • inflation
  • tech earnings
  • economic concerns
  • oil prices
  • geopolitical conflict

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Spotify, Apple Podcasts, Paulsen Perspectives

Products: Bitcoin, gold, oil, AI

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