About this episode

The episode discusses the intersection of AI's growth and the Federal Reserve's tightening measures, exploring market dynamics and strategies.

AI’s leverage-fueled boom is colliding with a Fed determined to tighten conditions without touching short-term rates. This week, we dig into the Situational Awareness liquidation, the Fed meeting, and whether markets have reached a genuine growth inflection. We unpack the ongoing AI unwind, Warsh’s long-end strategy, the Fed's credibility shock, and the administration’s market choreography. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:45 Situational Awareness Liquidation 04:49 Why Leverage Fueled The Boom 07:51 Price Drives The Narrative 12:42 Did Markets Misread Warsh? 21:08 Why The Long End Matters 25:42 Warsh’s Communication Problem 29:17 What Comes At Jackson Hole? 33:14 Growth Hits An Inflection 38:27 Markets Vs Midterm Politics 45:46 August Slowdown Risks FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks RESOURCES › Weekly Roundup Charts – https://drive.google.com/file/d/1JJcuttegsr2dLgKuasjv7B5u5tPe-OAu/view?usp=drive_link EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November…

People in this episode

Hosts: Felix, Quinn

Topics covered

• AI unwind
• Fed meeting
• market growth inflection
• leverage
• Warsh's strategy
• market risks

Keywords

• AI
• Fed
• Warsh
• market growth
• leverage
• liquidation
• politics
• Jackson Hole

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Fed, Warsh

Places: Jackson Hole

More episodes of Forward Guidance

• Fiscal Dominance Is Breaking The 60/40 Portfolio | Matt Hougan & Bob Haber · September 2, 2026 · 45 min
• Druck Calls Out Bessent & Will Jackson Hole Derail The Debasement Trade? | Weekly Roundup · August 27, 2026 · 53 min
• Treasury-Led Financial Repression Is Ushering In A Debasement Regime | Weekly Roundup · August 20, 2026 · 54 min
• The Growth Strategy Trapping The Fed | Darius Dale · August 12, 2026 · 46 min
• Washington Is Suppressing Volatility To Keep The AI Boom Alive | Weekly Roundup · August 7, 2026 · 60 min
• The Portfolio Built To Survive Every Crash | Jared Dillian · August 5, 2026 · 32 min

Explore listener stats, chart rankings, contacts and more on the Forward Guidance podcast page.