How Low Is Trump's Approval Rating Floor?

How Low Is Trump's Approval Rating Floor?

From GD POLITICS by Galen Druke

April 6, 2026 · 23 min

About this episode

The episode discusses Trump's current approval rating and its implications in the context of historical presidential approval ratings.

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.gdpolitics.com The full episode is available to paid subscribers. Once you become a paid subscriber, you can connect your account to your preferred podcast player here . President Trump’s approval rating now sits just below 40 percent, according to the Silver Bulletin average. That makes for a good headline, but it’s still well above the zone presidents reach when things truly fall apart. Both Bushes saw their approval sink into the mid-to-high twenties during their time in office, as did Jimmy Carter and Richard Nixon. And while approval in the high thirties to low forties is politically dangerous, it does not necessarily herald the kind of sea change that produced the Watergate reforms or the Reagan Revolution. For most of Trump’s decade in the political spotlight, the conventional wisdom has been that he is sui generis. No matter the controversy, the thinking goes, he will retain a base of support strong enough to keep his approval from falling to the levels reached by America’s least popular presidents. In light of the political backlash to the ongoing conflict in Iran, Nate Silver and I took to Substack Live…

People in this episode

Host: Galen Druke

Guest: Nate Silver

Topics covered

  • Trump's approval rating
  • political analysis
  • midterm elections
  • public opinion
  • historical comparisons

Keywords

  • Trump
  • approval rating
  • Nate Silver
  • politics
  • midterms
  • public opinion
  • historical context

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Silver Bulletin, Substack

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