100 Days Later: Can Trump Find an Off Ramp in the Gulf?

100 Days Later: Can Trump Find an Off Ramp in the Gulf?

From Hold Your Fire! by International Crisis Group

June 6, 2026 · 1h 10m · Season 6 · Episode 36

About this episode

The episode discusses the U.S.-Iran ceasefire and negotiations involving various experts on the geopolitical implications.

In this episode of Hold Your Fire! , Richard speaks with Crisis Group experts Naysan Rafati, Yasmine Farouk, Mairav Zonszein and Michael Hanna about the shaky U.S.-Iran ceasefire and the state of negotiations between the two countries. Richard first speaks with Naysan about continued U.S.-Iran tit-for-tat exchanges, talks over a possible deal, what an initial agreement might entail and whether the confrontation has strengthened Tehran’s hand. Richard then speaks with Yasmine about how Gulf Arab states’ views of the conflict have shifted and U.S.-Gulf Arab relations. Next, Richard speaks with Mairav about Israel’s perspective, calls within the country’s military and security establishment to return to war, Israel’s campaign in Lebanon and why a change in leadership would not necessarily mean a less hawkish Israeli approach. Lastly, Richard speaks with Michael about U.S. domestic politics around an Iran deal, whether Trump can sell the off-ramp currently on offer and how continued ceasefire violations could still trigger another escalation. Listen on Apple Podcasts or Spotify . For more, check out our Middle East & North Africa page. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for…

People in this episode

Host: Richard

Guests: Naysan Rafati, Yasmine Farouk, Mairav Zonszein, Michael Hanna

Topics covered

  • U.S.-Iran relations
  • Gulf Arab states
  • Israel's military perspective
  • U.S. domestic politics
  • ceasefire negotiations
  • Trump's foreign policy

Keywords

  • U.S.-Iran ceasefire
  • Gulf Arab states
  • Israel
  • Iran deal
  • Trump
  • negotiations
  • Middle East

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: International Crisis Group

Places: U.S., Iran, Gulf Arab states, Israel, Lebanon

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