[Linkpost] "AI 2040: Plan A" by Daniel Kokotajlo, elifland, Thomas Larsen, romeo, bhalstead, ryan_greenblatt

[Linkpost] "AI 2040: Plan A" by Daniel Kokotajlo, elifland, Thomas Larsen, romeo, bhalstead, ryan_greenblatt

July 9, 2026 · 2 min

About this episode

The episode discusses the AI Futures Project's new scenario, AI 2040: Plan A, which outlines a recommendation for delaying superintelligence until 2040.

This is a link post. For the past year, we at the AI Futures Project have been sinking most of our time into our next big scenario. Now it's done! It's called AI 2040: Plan A. It's called Plan A because it's a recommendation, not a prediction. It's what we think should happen, not what will happen, though we think it's plausible enough to aim for. It's called AI 2040 because in it, they delay the creation of superintelligence to 2040. It would have happened much sooner (in 2030, to b...

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Guests: Daniel Kokotajlo, elifland, Thomas Larsen, romeo, bhalstead, ryan_greenblatt

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Organizations: AI Futures Project

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