About this episode

The episode discusses the current recession indicators and their implications for the housing market and real estate investors.

The 2026 recession is here. You feel it. I feel it. GDP is growing, but the cost of living is rising, affordability is at a multi-decade low, and consumer sentiment is at its lowest level in 70 years. The stock market is ripping, but Americans are struggling daily. Economists will tell you it’s not a recession (at least not yet), but according to my recession indicator…we’re there. Last November, I created a new recession indicator. It wasn’t tied to GDP, asset values, or sentiment. It was tied to the average American struggling to get by. As of last week, this recession indicator threw up a strong yellow flag, signaling that we’ve reached a turning point—and the direction we’re going isn’t giving us much hope. This will affect the housing market and rent prices for real estate investors. I give my full forecast on how this could affect the market, but also share exactly what I’m doing right now to put myself in the best position to weather the storm and, hopefully, pick up discounted deals as they come along. Well-situated investors can survive this, but those that are already running their portfolios with little wiggle room might be in for a big surprise. In This Episode We…

People in this episode

Host: BiggerPockets

Topics covered

• recession indicators
• housing market
• real estate investing
• economic forecasts
• consumer sentiment

Keywords

• recession
• GDP
• cost of living
• housing market
• real estate
• consumer sentiment
• economic forecast

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: BiggerPockets

Places: America

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• Inflation Is Back, and It's a Warning Sign for Mortgage Rates · May 19, 2026 · 33 min
• Housing Market Forecasts Flip as Zillow, NAR, Fannie Mae Make New Predictions · May 14, 2026 · 28 min
• Senior Living Has 100% More Demand Coming…with Barely Any Supply · May 12, 2026 · 29 min

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