What Has All This Back-and-Forth Climate Legislating Bought Us?

What Has All This Back-and-Forth Climate Legislating Bought Us?

May 11, 2026 · 36 min · Season 3 · Episode 47

About this episode

The episode discusses the impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act on U.S. carbon emissions.

When Congress passed the Inflation Reduction Act in 2022, researchers estimated it would cut U.S. carbon pollution by more than 40% by the mid-2030s. Then President Trump and a GOP majority partially repealed the law, and many of those emissions declines looked doubtful. What will U.S. carbon emissions look like after the One Big Beautiful Bill Act? We’re starting to get a sense. On this week’s episode of Shift Key, Rob talks with  John Bistline  and  Ryna Cui  about a new paper they coauthored modeling the Inflation Reduction Act and One Big Beautiful Bill Act’s combined effects. Bistline is the head of science at  Watershed  and a former researcher at the Electric Power Research Institute. Cui is a professor at the University of Maryland School of Public Policy and the research director for its Center for Global Sustainability. Shift Key is hosted by Robinson Meyer, the founding executive editor of Heatmap News. You can find a full transcript of the episode here . Mentioned: The new paper:  Impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act and One Big Beautiful Bill Act on the US energy system A  cheat sheet  on the energy policy changes in the…

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