Margin of Safety Planning: How to Prepare for the Risks You Don’t See Coming

Margin of Safety Planning: How to Prepare for the Risks You Don’t See Coming

July 6, 2026 · 52 min

About this episode

The episode discusses the importance of preparing for unseen risks in investing and how to build a margin of safety.

Charlie Munger said if you can’t stay calm through a 50% market decline, you’re not fit to be a shareholder—and that’s the point of this episode. Stephen and Andrew break down a simple truth most investors miss: risk isn’t just price movement. Volatility is expected. The real danger is the stuff that causes permanent damage—liquidity crunches, too much debt, concentration blowups, inflation eroding purchasing power, and life events that wreck your timeline. They walk through the major risk categories with practical examples and beginner-friendly metrics (like quick ratio, current ratio, and debt-to-equity). The big takeaway: you don’t need to predict the future—you need a plan that can survive it. Build margin of safety into your investing process so the inevitable hits don’t take you out. What You Will Learn Why volatility is “temporary pain,” not the definition of real risk How to think about liquidity risk (and what to check in financial statements) The simplest ways beginners can sanity-check credit/debt risk Why concentration risk can build wealth or destroy it fast What reinvestment risk means for retirees using CDs/bonds How inflation, horizon risk, and longevity risk…

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Hosts: Stephen, Andrew

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