From Tehran to Taipei: How the Iran War Reshapes China’s Taiwan Calculus (feat. Matt Pottinger)
About this episode
The episode discusses how the Iran war is influencing China's calculations regarding Taiwan and the global balance of power.
On the battlefield, the Iran war is expanding, and the real negotiations aren’t happening in backchannels — they’re happening in the Strait of Hormuz. The Iran war isn’t just about Iran. It’s about energy, leverage, and whether Beijing—and even Taiwan—are already learning the lessons of this war in real time. FDD’s Matt Pottinger joins host Mark Dubowitz to break down why a deal may be closer than it looks, why Trump may not take it, and how this war is already reshaping the global balance of power — and why China’s watching closely.
People in this episode
Host: Mark Dubowitz
Guest: Matt Pottinger
Topics covered
- Iran war
- China-Taiwan relations
- global power dynamics
- energy leverage
- international negotiations
Keywords
- Iran war
- China
- Taiwan
- energy
- global balance of power
- negotiations
- Mark Dubowitz
- Matt Pottinger
Mentioned in this episode
Organizations: FDD
Places: Tehran, Taipei, Strait of Hormuz, China, Taiwan
More episodes of The Iran Breakdown with Mark Dubowitz
- No March on Tehran: The Military Logic of the Iran War (feat. John Spencer)
- Operation Economic Fury (feat. Miad Maleki and Rich Goldberg)
- Regime Revisionism: Tehran's War Before the Iran War (feat. Jay Solomon & Negar Mojtahedi)
- Iran's Global Game of Drones (& How To Stockpile While Sanctioned) (feat. Kerri Bitsoff)
- War of the Words in Iran (feat. Ali Ansari)
- Breaking Down The Islamic Republic (Cliff May feat. Mark Dubowitz)
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