Risk & Reward: Stress Testing the Long Term Buy and Hold Strategy | Ben Carlson | 225

Risk & Reward: Stress Testing the Long Term Buy and Hold Strategy | Ben Carlson | 225

July 12, 2026 · 1h 11m · Episode 225

About this episode

Bill and Jackie discuss the risks of the buy and hold strategy with Ben Carlson, emphasizing the importance of understanding market psychology and portfolio management.

What if the biggest risk in your portfolio isn't a crash, a recession, or even inflation, but the very human urge to believe that whatever just worked will work forever? Bill and Jackie sit down with Ben Carlson of A Wealth of Common Sense and Animal Spirits for a market-history masterclass that somehow manages to be equal parts calming, nerdy, and deeply practical. This one is for anyone who's ever stared at their portfolio, read one scary headline too many, and wondered whether simplicity still works. Ben's answer is basically yes—but only if you understand the risks, respect your own behavior, and build a portfolio you can actually stick with. This episode covers: Ben Carlson's "Bob" thought experiment and why even terrible market timing can still work out over the long run Why dollar cost averaging often beats waiting for the perfect entry point The psychology of lump-sum investing versus spreading money out over time What inflation looked like before World War II versus in the modern era How to think about inflation through a personal-finance lens, not just an investing lens Why housing, transportation, income growth, and stocks are major inflation defenses What Japan's lost…

Topics covered

More episodes of Catching Up to FI

Explore listener stats, chart rankings, contacts and more on the Catching Up to FI podcast page.