About this episode

The episode discusses the implications of a new era at the Federal Reserve on market dynamics and various economic factors.

A new era at the Federal Reserve may be reshaping how markets think about rates, volatility, and the role of central banks. But is the market interpreting Kevin Warsh's first moves correctly? This week, we break down Warsh's first FOMC meeting, the end of traditional forward guidance, and why they believe peak hawkishness may already be behind us despite the Fed's messaging. We also discuss the AI capex boom, the future of Bitcoin and MicroStrategy, tightening liquidity, housing affordability, and whether markets are entering a fundamentally different regime. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:13 Forward Guidance Is Dead 08:28 Rate Volatility Returns 13:08 Why Hikes Won’t Happen 18:33 Liquidity Gets Tight 26:15 The AI Buildout Meets The Fed 35:55 The Summer Market Setup 42:39 MicroStrategy's Market Test 46:18 Bitcoin’s AI Opportunity Cost 53:29 Crypto Needs To Adapt 01:00:46 Gold Sentiment Hits Extremes FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Tyler – https://x.com/Tyler_Neville › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks RESOURCES › Weekly Roundup…

People in this episode

Hosts: Felix, Quinn, Tyler

Topics covered

• Federal Reserve
• market volatility
• forward guidance
• AI capex boom
• Bitcoin
• liquidity
• housing affordability

Keywords

• Federal Reserve
• Kevin Warsh
• market volatility
• AI
• Bitcoin
• MicroStrategy
• liquidity
• housing affordability

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Federal Reserve, MicroStrategy

Products: Bitcoin

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