About this episode

Joseph Wang discusses the implications of Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting and potential transformations within the Federal Reserve.

A new Fed chair has arrived, and the implications could be far bigger than a single rate decision. Joseph Wang, former Fed trader and creator of Fed Guy, joins Forward Guidance immediately after Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting to unpack what may be the beginning of a fundamental transformation of the Federal Reserve. We discuss Warsh’s hawkish debut, the end of the forward guidance era, sweeping Fed task forces, potential changes to the inflation framework, AI and productivity, and why all of this could point to a meaningful repricing of risk assets. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 02:22 Warsh Kills Forward Guidance 05:57 Markets Price The Warsh Fed 11:19 The New Fed Task Forces 17:10 Impact On Rate Volatility 19:12 Warsh’s Balance Sheet Fight 23:13 Rethinking Fed Data 27:46 Weighing AI Productivity 31:52 Rethinking Inflation Target 36:17 Warsh’s Hawkish Market Signal FOLLOW JOSEPH › X/Twitter – https://x.com/josephwang › Website – https://fedguy.com/ › YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@Fedguy12 FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks…

People in this episode

Host: Felix

Guest: Joseph Wang

Topics covered

• Federal Reserve
• interest rates
• monetary policy
• inflation
• AI
• risk assets

Keywords

• Warsh Fed
• forward guidance
• inflation framework
• rate volatility
• AI productivity
• risk assets

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Federal Reserve, Blockworks

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