About this episode

The episode discusses predictions surrounding Trump's speech and its potential geopolitical implications.

We recorded this pre-speech episode earlier today (April 1st), racing the clock before Trump's evening address. Marko seems to think that Trump will zag spectacularly - not taco, not escalate, but announce a NATO exit to distract from the Iran morass. Jacob thinks that there are two most likely scenarios following Trump's speech today. Behind Door A is a taco salad. Behind Door B is economic catastrophe. There might be a "third, secret door" - but you'll have to tune in to learn more :) -- Timestamps: (00:00) - Open (00:53) - Pregame Iran Updates (01:56) - Trump Speech Predictions (02:56) - NATO Exit Distraction (08:19) - Two Doors A Or B (11:43) - Door C War But Oil (16:09) - Escalation Odds And Markets (20:51) - Tolling Debate Predictability (24:39) - Israel Spoiler Scenarios (35:48) - Gulf States And China Leverage (37:46) - Spice Leverage Limits (38:37) - Iran Hormuz Toll Scenario (39:54) - Maritime Chokepoints Debate (41:09) - Trump and Sea Power Shift (43:40) - US Exit and Regional Equilibrium (46:12) - Industrial Policy Reality Check (49:25) - Russia Ukraine Energy Spillover (50:46) - Power Is Fungible Argument (54:30) - Who Guards Gulf After US (59:41) - Multipolar…

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• Bombing for Peace · April 18, 2026 · 1h 27m
• Taco Tuesday · April 9, 2026 · 1h 16m
• Mad Max: Hormuz Warrior · March 27, 2026 · 1h 46m
• Marko's Pain-Based Punitive Airpower Global Response Equation · March 13, 2026 · 1h 22m

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