The Limits of Predictive AI - Carissa Véliz with Nicholas Thompson

The Limits of Predictive AI - Carissa Véliz with Nicholas Thompson

May 20, 2026 · 48 min

About this episode

Carissa Véliz discusses the limitations and ethical implications of predictive AI with Nicholas Thompson.

Can AI predict a person’s future? It’s a promise often made by sales teams, but the technology’s record is far from spotless. Even if it did achieve perfect foresight, a practically-clairvoyant AI might be incompatible with democracy, says Oxford philosopher Carissa Véliz. In a spirited conversation with Nicholas Thompson, CEO of The Atlantic, Véliz traces the history of predictions from ancient oracles to the modern algorithms shaping everything from criminal sentencing to insurance premiums. What are the ethics of outsourcing such consequential decisions to machines? The risks of getting it wrong are obvious. Véliz warns of the dangers of getting it right. (00:00) Introduction to Carissa Véliz and her work on privacy and AI (01:29) Why "less crime" is an illusion of safety (02:30) How surveillance machinery enables prediction and social control (03:06) Defense of autonomy: why resisting surveillance protects freedom (04:02) Can mass surveillance ever be beneficial? (05:36) Ring cameras and the erosion of democratic anonymity (07:01) Prediction versus prophecy: how forecasts shape reality (08:52) Job displacement predictions and self-fulfilling prophecies (13:15) The Gettier…

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