Australian Cattle and Beef Market Report

In this episode, Ripley Atkinson, Australian Meats & Livestock Manager at StoneX dives into the April wave of the recently released Beef Producer Intentions Survey (BPIS) reported by Meat & Livestock Australia. Ripley unpacks all the key details and insights the report provides. Sourced directly from Australian producers, the report acknowledges the influence that the Middle East conflict had on producer confidence as a result of impacts around geopolitics and rising input prices. At a local level, Ripley considers the report’s findings around herd number changes and what this structurally may mean for the beef sector with the retention of more grass-fed bullocks and strong growth in the northern breeding herd.

With two key datasets from the Australian Bureau of Statistics for slaughter & production and the MLA/ALFA Feedlot Brief released this week, Ripley dives into all the figures in this episode. Articulating what it all means for the beef industry, where we’re heading and how there’s a distinct structural realignment unfolding towards preferences for grainfed cattle in Australia. Join Ripley as he further elaborates how large numbers of females processed doesn’t necessarily translate into rapid levels of herd liquidation like it used to, whilst sharing a little-known tip on how beef exports are a lead indicator for slaughter & production numbers.

Ripley sits down with Patrick Hutchinson, Director of Gibraltar Strategic Advisory, to discuss the major announcements and situations, on an export level, which have affected the beef industry in 2026. This includes the China tariff announcement once its safeguard quota limit is hit, the EU-Australia Free Trade Agreement, and tensions in the Middle East. Pat distils how this will influence the beef industry and the role volatility is playing more broadly, having been amplified by these situations. He also provides his views on risk and volatility within the Australian beef industry and where it can improve on addressing this key aspect of the sector. StoneX Financial Pty Ltd (ACN 141 774 727) holds an Australian Financial Service License (AFSL: 345646) for Dealing in Securities, Exchange-Traded Derivatives Contracts, OTC Derivatives Contracts and Foreign Exchange Contracts, and is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission. ‘StoneX’ is the trade name used by StoneX Group Inc. and all its associated entities and subsidiaries.The views, opinions of the presenters are solely their own and do not in any way reflect the views, opinions, endorsements or recommendations of STONEX. STONEX is the trade name used by STONEX GROUP INC. and all its associated entities and subsidiaries. StoneX Group Inc. provides financial services worldwide through its subsidiaries, including physical commodities, securities, exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives, risk management, global payments and foreign exchange products in accordance with applicable law in the jurisdictions where services are provided. Information and material presented is for educational purposes only and does not constitute any form of investment advice nor an offer or solicitation to invest in any financial instrument.This information provided is prepared by STONEX and is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to invest, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.Representations of past performance are in no way an indication of future performance and such representations have not been verified by StoneX. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or material presented.The presentation herein is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation.No responsibility is accepted by StoneX for any loss or damage arising in any way (including due to negligence) from anyone acting or refraining from acting as a result of this information or material. Reproduction or use in any format without authorization is forbidden. © 2026 StoneX Group Inc. All Rights Reserved.

This week, Ripley discusses the Brazilian beef industry with Caio Toledo and Victor Novaes – Directors of StoneX Brazil Cattle businessOur trio unpack the dynamic layers of the Brazilian beef industry, exploring rapid shifts in domestic to export market shares, the rise of influence from China and the growth in the Brazilian feedlotting sectors. Ripley then considers the influence of the shift in the Brazilian production system to become more export orientated and what this means for the Australian beef supply chain.Brazil remains a major export market competitor for Australia, and this episode is packed with performance insight and forecasts for anyone to better their understanding on both industry giants.StoneX Financial Pty Ltd (ACN 141 774 727) holds an Australian Financial Service License (AFSL: 345646) for Dealing in Securities, Exchange-Traded Derivatives Contracts, OTC Derivatives Contracts and Foreign Exchange Contracts, and is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission. ‘StoneX’ is the trade name used by StoneX Group Inc. and all its associated entities and subsidiaries.The views, opinions of the presenters are solely their own and do not in any way reflect the views, opinions, endorsements or recommendations of STONEX. STONEX is the trade name used by STONEX GROUP INC. and all its associated entities and subsidiaries. StoneX Group Inc. provides financial services worldwide through its subsidiaries, including physical commodities, securities, exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives, risk management, global payments and foreign exchange products in accordance with applicable law in the jurisdictions where services are provided. Information and material presented is for educational purposes only and does not constitute any form of investment advice nor an offer or solicitation to invest in any financial instrument.This information provided is prepared by STONEX and is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to invest, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.Representations of past performance are in no way an indication of future performance and such representations have not been verified by StoneX. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or material presented.The presentation herein is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation.No responsibility is accepted by StoneX for any loss or damage arising in any way (including due to negligence) from anyone acting or refraining from acting as a result of this information or material. Reproduction or use in any format without authorization is forbidden. © 2026 StoneX Group Inc. All Rights Reserved.

New data regarding the Australian feedlot industry highlights how the continued growth in capacity and numbers on feed over the past 5 years is translating into record grain-fed turnoff volumes. Ripley delves into topical questions on the size of the cattle herd and differing views on how these come about. © 2025 StoneX Group Inc. all rights reserved.The subsidiaries of StoneX Group Inc. provide financial products and services, including, but not limited to, physical commodities, securities, clearing, global payments, risk management, asset management, foreign exchange, and exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. These financial products and services are offered in accordance with the applicable laws in the jurisdictions in which they are provided and are subject to specific terms, conditions, and restrictions contained in the terms of business applicable to each such offering. Not all products and services are available in all countries. The products and services offered by the StoneX Group of companies involve risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Full Disclaimer: https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library/#disclosuresThis is not intended for residents of any particular country, and the information herein is not advice nor a recommendation to trade nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial product or service, by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Please refer to the Regulatory Disclosure (https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library) section for entity-specific disclosures.No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The information herein is provided for informational purposes only. This information is provided on an ‘as-is’ basis and may contain statements and opinions of the StoneX Group of companies as well as excerpts and/or information from public sources and third parties and no warranty, whether express or implied, is given as to its completeness or accuracy. Each company within the StoneX Group of companies (on its own behalf and on behalf of its directors, employees and agents) disclaims any and all liability as well as any third-party claim that may arise from the accuracy and/or completeness of the information detailed herein, as well as the use of or reliance on this information by the recipient, any member of its group or any third party.

In less than a month, market sentiment and pricing has shifted quickly, with seasonal conditions and higher supplies weighing on pricing. Meanwhile, increasing price volatility in the second half of this year continues to highlight the inherent risk carried by the cattle market.© 2025 StoneX Group Inc. all rights reserved.The subsidiaries of StoneX Group Inc. provide financial products and services, including, but not limited to, physical commodities, securities, clearing, global payments, risk management, asset management, foreign exchange, and exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. These financial products and services are offered in accordance with the applicable laws in the jurisdictions in which they are provided and are subject to specific terms, conditions, and restrictions contained in the terms of business applicable to each such offering. Not all products and services are available in all countries. The products and services offered by the StoneX Group of companies involve risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Full Disclaimer: https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library/#disclosuresThis is not intended for residents of any particular country, and the information herein is not advice nor a recommendation to trade nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial product or service, by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Please refer to the Regulatory Disclosure (https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library) section for entity-specific disclosures.No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The information herein is provided for informational purposes only. This information is provided on an ‘as-is’ basis and may contain statements and opinions of the StoneX Group of companies as well as excerpts and/or information from public sources and third parties and no warranty, whether express or implied, is given as to its completeness or accuracy. Each company within the StoneX Group of companies (on its own behalf and on behalf of its directors, employees and agents) disclaims any and all liability as well as any third-party claim that may arise from the accuracy and/or completeness of the information detailed herein, as well as the use of or reliance on this information by the recipient, any member of its group or any third party.

A clear delineation in restocker prices between emerging northern and southern markets has coincided with a potential realisation that the southern spring of 2025 isn’t going to deliver as well as it was likely to a month ago. Whilst the flow and movements of cattle from south to north and north to south for store and slaughter cattle respectively is a unique, rare dynamic. What happens if a southern herd rebuild doesn’t eventuate in 2025? This and more, all answered on this week’s podcast.© 2025 StoneX Group Inc. all rights reserved.The subsidiaries of StoneX Group Inc. provide financial products and services, including, but not limited to, physical commodities, securities, clearing, global payments, risk management, asset management, foreign exchange, and exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. These financial products and services are offered in accordance with the applicable laws in the jurisdictions in which they are provided and are subject to specific terms, conditions, and restrictions contained in the terms of business applicable to each such offering. Not all products and services are available in all countries. The products and services offered by the StoneX Group of companies involve risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Full Disclaimer: https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library/#disclosuresThis is not intended for residents of any particular country, and the information herein is not advice nor a recommendation to trade nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial product or service, by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Please refer to the Regulatory Disclosure (https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library) section for entity-specific disclosures.No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The information herein is provided for informational purposes only. This information is provided on an ‘as-is’ basis and may contain statements and opinions of the StoneX Group of companies as well as excerpts and/or information from public sources and third parties and no warranty, whether express or implied, is given as to its completeness or accuracy. Each company within the StoneX Group of companies (on its own behalf and on behalf of its directors, employees and agents) disclaims any and all liability as well as any third-party claim that may arise from the accuracy and/or completeness of the information detailed herein, as well as the use of or reliance on this information by the recipient, any member of its group or any third party.

This week, as spring closes in, timely rain and a strong feeder market are sending false signals back to the producer to pay up for restocker cattle. We also look at the substantive influence of the southern feedlots that is forcing the northern markets higher. Plus, we review the key takeaways and details for the first half of 2025 from two key reports for feedlot and processing volumes.© 2025 StoneX Group Inc. all rights reserved.The subsidiaries of StoneX Group Inc. provide financial products and services, including, but not limited to, physical commodities, securities, clearing, global payments, risk management, asset management, foreign exchange, and exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. These financial products and services are offered in accordance with the applicable laws in the jurisdictions in which they are provided and are subject to specific terms, conditions, and restrictions contained in the terms of business applicable to each such offering. Not all products and services are available in all countries. The products and services offered by the StoneX Group of companies involve risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Full Disclaimer: https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library/#disclosuresThis is not intended for residents of any particular country, and the information herein is not advice nor a recommendation to trade nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial product or service, by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Please refer to the Regulatory Disclosure (https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library) section for entity-specific disclosures.No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The information herein is provided for informational purposes only. This information is provided on an ‘as-is’ basis and may contain statements and opinions of the StoneX Group of companies as well as excerpts and/or information from public sources and third parties and no warranty, whether express or implied, is given as to its completeness or accuracy. Each company within the StoneX Group of companies (on its own behalf and on behalf of its directors, employees and agents) disclaims any and all liability as well as any third-party claim that may arise from the accuracy and/or completeness of the information detailed herein, as well as the use of or reliance on this information by the recipient, any member of its group or any third party.

Queensland producers, on the back of season-defining March rains, have sold 720,000 head less stock than expected in April for the first half of 2025. Whilst the cow market – driven by intense southern demand – has found another gear, lifting over 45c/kg lwt in this week alone. As producers find themselves in the shadows of Spring and recent rainfall in key supply areas, the market finds itself in an increasingly bullish state of mind. This and much more, analysed and discussed on the StoneX Australian Cattle & Beef Market Report.© 2025 StoneX Group Inc. all rights reserved.The subsidiaries of StoneX Group Inc. provide financial products and services, including, but not limited to, physical commodities, securities, clearing, global payments, risk management, asset management, foreign exchange, and exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. These financial products and services are offered in accordance with the applicable laws in the jurisdictions in which they are provided and are subject to specific terms, conditions, and restrictions contained in the terms of business applicable to each such offering. Not all products and services are available in all countries. The products and services offered by the StoneX Group of companies involve risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Full Disclaimer: https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library/#disclosuresThis is not intended for residents of any particular country, and the information herein is not advice nor a recommendation to trade nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial product or service, by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Please refer to the Regulatory Disclosure (https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library) section for entity-specific disclosures.No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The information herein is provided for informational purposes only. This information is provided on an ‘as-is’ basis and may contain statements and opinions of the StoneX Group of companies as well as excerpts and/or information from public sources and third parties and no warranty, whether express or implied, is given as to its completeness or accuracy. Each company within the StoneX Group of companies (on its own behalf and on behalf of its directors, employees and agents) disclaims any and all liability as well as any third-party claim that may arise from the accuracy and/or completeness of the information detailed herein, as well as the use of or reliance on this information by the recipient, any member of its group or any third party.

Jump into a recap of the standout developments in the Australian cattle market for the first half of 2025. Ripley Atkinson breaks down 10-year high slaughter figures and record setting export volumes, the game-changing impact of late March rains across northern Australia, and the markets’ resilience despite abundant supply. He also explores how these conditions are supportive to broadly sustainable prices across the supply chain and reflects on key global influences, including U.S. tariffs and emerging market demand. Tune in for a comprehensive review of H1 2025 and a preview of what’s to come in the upcoming H2 outlook.© 2025 StoneX Group Inc. all rights reserved.The subsidiaries of StoneX Group Inc. provide financial products and services, including, but not limited to, physical commodities, securities, clearing, global payments, risk management, asset management, foreign exchange, and exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. These financial products and services are offered in accordance with the applicable laws in the jurisdictions in which they are provided and are subject to specific terms, conditions, and restrictions contained in the terms of business applicable to each such offering. Not all products and services are available in all countries. The products and services offered by the StoneX Group of companies involve risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Full Disclaimer: https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library/#disclosuresThis is not intended for residents of any particular country, and the information herein is not advice nor a recommendation to trade nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial product or service, by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Please refer to the Regulatory Disclosure (https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library) section for entity-specific disclosures.No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The information herein is provided for informational purposes only. This information is provided on an ‘as-is’ basis and may contain statements and opinions of the StoneX Group of companies as well as excerpts and/or information from public sources and third parties and no warranty, whether express or implied, is given as to its completeness or accuracy. Each company within the StoneX Group of companies (on its own behalf and on behalf of its directors, employees and agents) disclaims any and all liability as well as any third-party claim that may arise from the accuracy and/or completeness of the information detailed herein, as well as the use of or reliance on this information by the recipient, any member of its group or any third party.

This week, Cyril Close from TopX Roma shares his views on the healthy state of the cattle market across all categories. Whilst giving a rundown on where seasonal conditions are at for the major beef state of Queensland. Without forgetting to share his love for the beef industry and the people involved.© 2025 StoneX Group Inc. all rights reserved.The subsidiaries of StoneX Group Inc. provide financial products and services, including, but not limited to, physical commodities, securities, clearing, global payments, risk management, asset management, foreign exchange, and exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. These financial products and services are offered in accordance with the applicable laws in the jurisdictions in which they are provided and are subject to specific terms, conditions, and restrictions contained in the terms of business applicable to each such offering. Not all products and services are available in all countries. The products and services offered by the StoneX Group of companies involve risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Full Disclaimer: https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library/#disclosuresThis is not intended for residents of any particular country, and the information herein is not advice nor a recommendation to trade nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial product or service, by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Please refer to the Regulatory Disclosure (https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library) section for entity-specific disclosures.No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The information herein is provided for informational purposes only. This information is provided on an ‘as-is’ basis and may contain statements and opinions of the StoneX Group of companies as well as excerpts and/or information from public sources and third parties and no warranty, whether express or implied, is given as to its completeness or accuracy. Each company within the StoneX Group of companies (on its own behalf and on behalf of its directors, employees and agents) disclaims any and all liability as well as any third-party claim that may arise from the accuracy and/or completeness of the information detailed herein, as well as the use of or reliance on this information by the recipient, any member of its group or any third party.

What effect will higher supplies have on pricing and why is May unique in terms of its cattle supply? Plus, why does forecasted rain for Southern Australia bring opportunity to producers? These questions and much more answered in this episode of the StoneX Australian Cattle & Beef Market Report. © 2025 StoneX Group Inc. all rights reserved.The subsidiaries of StoneX Group Inc. provide financial products and services, including, but not limited to, physical commodities, securities, clearing, global payments, risk management, asset management, foreign exchange, and exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. These financial products and services are offered in accordance with the applicable laws in the jurisdictions in which they are provided and are subject to specific terms, conditions, and restrictions contained in the terms of business applicable to each such offering. Not all products and services are available in all countries. The products and services offered by the StoneX Group of companies involve risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Full Disclaimer: https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library/#disclosuresThis is not intended for residents of any particular country, and the information herein is not advice nor a recommendation to trade nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial product or service, by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Please refer to the Regulatory Disclosure (https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library) section for entity-specific disclosures.No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The information herein is provided for informational purposes only. This information is provided on an ‘as-is’ basis and may contain statements and opinions of the StoneX Group of companies as well as excerpts and/or information from public sources and third parties and no warranty, whether express or implied, is given as to its completeness or accuracy. Each company within the StoneX Group of companies (on its own behalf and on behalf of its directors, employees and agents) disclaims any and all liability as well as any third-party claim that may arise from the accuracy and/or completeness of the information detailed herein, as well as the use of or reliance on this information by the recipient, any member of its group or any third party.

Record rainfall across vast tracts of Australia’s major cattle regions in the past week have assured a good – if not great – season in 2025. Season-defining rainfall will boost and improve not only fertility but also calving rates in major breeding herds to deliver national herd growth this year. © 2025 StoneX Group Inc. all rights reserved.The subsidiaries of StoneX Group Inc. provide financial products and services, including, but not limited to, physical commodities, securities, clearing, global payments, risk management, asset management, foreign exchange, and exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives. These financial products and services are offered in accordance with the applicable laws in the jurisdictions in which they are provided and are subject to specific terms, conditions, and restrictions contained in the terms of business applicable to each such offering. Not all products and services are available in all countries. The products and services offered by the StoneX Group of companies involve risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Full Disclaimer: https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library/#disclosuresThis is not intended for residents of any particular country, and the information herein is not advice nor a recommendation to trade nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial product or service, by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. Please refer to the Regulatory Disclosure (https://www.stonex.com/en/compliance-library) section for entity-specific disclosures.No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc. The information herein is provided for informational purposes only. This information is provided on an ‘as-is’ basis and may contain statements and opinions of the StoneX Group of companies as well as excerpts and/or information from public sources and third parties and no warranty, whether express or implied, is given as to its completeness or accuracy. Each company within the StoneX Group of companies (on its own behalf and on behalf of its directors, employees and agents) disclaims any and all liability as well as any third-party claim that may arise from the accuracy and/or completeness of the information detailed herein, as well as the use of or reliance on this information by the recipient, any member of its group or any third party.