Balance of Power

Insight & analysis on the White House and Capitol Hill. Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Donald Trump and Republicans in the US Senate squabbled on Wednesday, as the president abruptly canceled plans to sign a bipartisan housing bill and lawmakers pressed him over his handling of the war in Iran.Trump’s refusal to sign the legislation came shortly before a private luncheon with Senate Republicans at the US Capitol, where tensions quickly flared. Louisiana Republican Bill Cassidy, whose Senate career Trump helped end, repeatedly criticized the president over the Middle East conflict, while Senate Majority Leader John Thune tried to play peacemaker, a person familiar said. Spokespeople for Cassidy and Thune did not immediately respond to requests for comment.The president defended his war effort, telling senators he is the first president to do something to stop Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon, said another person familiar with the matter, who requested anonymity to describe the closed-door exchange. Senator Jon Husted, a Republican from Ohio, described the Cassidy-Trump exchange as “memorable” but declined to say more. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition, Joe and Kailey speak with: Bloomberg Washington Correspondent Tyler Kendall. Bloomberg Government Senior Washington Reporter Jonathan Tamari. Republican Congressman Mike Lawler of New York. Burway Group Senior Advisor Roger Fisk and Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck Partner Rosemary Becchi. Bloomberg White House Correspondent Jennifer Dlouhy. Former US Ambassador to NATO Ivo Daalder. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A preview of Senate and House plans this week to vote on a package that incorporates President Donald Trump's wishes on banning institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes led Bloomberg Intelligence's June 22 Washington Policy Pulse. Yet while corporate entities won't be able to purchase more than 350 homes, it's important to note for single-family REITs like Invitation Homes and AMH, the impact may be lessened by exemptions in the bill. The bill also doesn't contain language that would require build-to-rent communities from being required to divest rental communities after seven years. We also discussed upcoming Congressional hearings on the Fintech and digital asset sectors and why Washington will likely be in a lull period for the fintech space, limiting policy risk for Visa, Mastercard and Stripe for now. Finally, we gave a slight preview of some of the comment letters banking trade associations provided in regards to a capital requirement raising proposal called the Basel III endgame. Much of the sector hopes that the Fed will allow further capital reductions, which we currently estimate to be around $18 billion for the largest banks including JPMorgan and Bank of America. The Bloomberg Intelligence Financial Policy weekly call is designed to provide investors an opportunity to learn about the most recent relevant policy research, information regarding forthcoming political catalysts and other on-goings within Washington DC.   The call is open to all and is held every Monday at 10:00 a.m. EST. You can register for the call here: https://bloomberg.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN__PqCkwY-S2m3hbQqvVC1_Q#/registrationSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. The former Federal Reserve Chairman died on Monday at his home, NBC News reported, citing his wife, Andrea Mitchell. The cause was complications of Parkinson’s disease. Greenspan was proclaimed a wizard for guiding a then-record US economic expansion, only to see his luster dimmed by the financial crisis that erupted less than two years after he stepped down. Bloomberg's David Westin, Paul Sweeney and Isabelle Lee look back at the life and legacy of Alan Greenspan, along with James Egelhof, Chief US Economist at BNP Paribas, and John Micklethwait, Editor-in-Chief at Bloomberg News.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Insight & analysis on the White House and Capitol Hill. Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. President Donald Trump defended the interim peace deal he’s reached with Iran and said it could get signed as soon as tomorrow, amid pushback from Republican hawks at home who object to the billions of dollars set to flow Tehran’s way. The so-called memorandum of understanding could be signed “shortly, tomorrow, maybe the next day,” Trump said Wednesday at a press conference in France where he’s attending a summit of the Group of Seven advanced economies. A draft seen by Bloomberg foresees the rapid reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, along with immediate sanctions waivers for Iranian oil. Talks on nuclear issues, and potential further financial gains for Iran, will follow. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition, Joe and Kailey speak with: Republican Senator Bill Hagerty of Tennessee. Bloomberg Washington Correspondent Tyler Kendall. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A review of the reported deal between the United States and Iran, and Washington's reaction to it, led Bloomberg Intelligence's June 15 Washington Policy Pulse. We also discussed a June 12 US export-control mandate to Anthropic, which caused the company to pull its models, and how it's likely boosting the case for AI legislation. While odds of a bill passing this year are low, aggressive AI laws may damp growth for companies like Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and Nvidia. Other topics of discussion include the appropriations process, marijuana rescheduling and logistics in the Senate related to former SEC Chairman Jay Clayton's nomination to be the next Director of National Intelligence. The Bloomberg Intelligence Financial Policy weekly call is designed to provide investors an opportunity to learn about the most recent relevant policy research, information regarding forthcoming political catalysts and other on-goings within Washington DC.   The call is open to all and is held every Monday at 10:00 a.m. EST. You can register for the call here: https://bloomberg.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN__PqCkwY-S2m3hbQqvVC1_Q#/registrationSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

An update on a proposal that we believe will bring regulatory clarity to event contracts, key for platforms like Kalshi, Polymarket, CME Group and Robinhood, led Bloomberg Intelligence's June 1 Washington Policy Pulse discussion. The proposal likely reaffirms that event contracts are swaps and under federal jurisdiction. We also discussed a future Iran War Powers resolution and how it's unlikely to change President Donald Trump's views towards the conflct as well as the potential for new tariffs once the US Trade Representative completes what is known as Section 232 or Section 301 tariffs.The Bloomberg Intelligence Financial Policy weekly call is designed to provide investors an opportunity to learn about the most recent relevant policy research, information regarding forthcoming political catalysts and other on-goings within Washington DC.The call is open to all and is held every Monday at 10:00 a.m. EST. You can register for the call here: https://bloomberg.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN__PqCkwY-S2m3hbQqvVC1_Q#/registrationSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Insight & analysis on the White House and Capitol Hill. Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.President Donald Trump said that he is ready to make his 'final determination' on a deal to extend a ceasefire with Iran. The president is the final sign off on a deal reached by negotiators that would extend the fragile ceasefire by 60 days and open the floor for further talks on Iran's nuclear program. Writing on Truth Social, President Trump laid out conditions for a tentative agreement, saying that Iran "must agree that they will never have a Nuclear Weapon or Bomb. The Hormuz Strait must be immediately open, no tolls, for unrestricted shipping traffic, in both directions."  Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition, Joe and Kailey speak with: Tyler Kendall, Bloomberg Washington Correspondent & Adam Farrar, Bloomberg Economics Senior Geoeconomics Analyst for Asia-Pacific  Jeanne Sheehan Zaino, Harvard Kennedy School Ash Center Visiting Democracy Fellow & Sarah Chamberlain, Republican Main Street Partnership President and CEO  Jane Harman, Former US Congresswoman from California, Former-Ranking Member of the House Intelligence Committee & author of “Insanity Defense: Why Our Failure to Confront Hard National Security Problems Makes Us Less Safe" Zach Stone, Hermeus President Zach Shore  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Insight & analysis on the White House and Capitol Hill. Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. President Donald Trump asserted that no one nation would control the vital Strait of Hormuz waterway, highlighting a key sticking point in resolving the war with Iran.Trump was asked during a meeting of his Cabinet officials if he was comfortable with a short-term deal that would open the strait but under Iranian control.“Nobody’s going to control it. It’s international waters,” Trump said Wednesday at the White House. “The strait’s going to be open to everybody” and the US will “watch over it.” Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition, Joe and Kailey speak with: Ipsos US Public Affairs Chair Cliff Young. Bloomberg Senior Editor Derek Wallbank. Cohen Group Senior Adviser Jen Gavito. Harvard Kennedy School Ash Center Visiting Democracy Fellow Jeanne Sheehan Zaino. Bloomberg Washington Correspondent Tyler Kendall. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.