This Year's Model

This Year's Model

From Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen by Ricochet

May 28, 2026 · 1h 8m · Episode 127

About this episode

Henry Olsen discusses polling methods and public opinion dynamics with guest James Kanagasooriam.

America is a change agent. Just this week, we witnessed another sign of that as unstoppable MAGA momentum pushed notorious Ken Paxton to a walloping victory over party loyalist John Cornyn. So how does one gauge public opinion in such a dynamic terrain? To answer that, Henry sits down with James Kanagasooriam of the research firm Focaldata. The duo discusses the history of polling and the current methods for addressing new challenges, such as response rate collapse and demographic biases toward politically engaged voters, and how these fit into the timeless task of interpreting the results. All of it adds up to a must-listen lesson on how some pollsters innovate to make their boldly accurate calls. Plus, Henry examines the Texas runoff results and looks ahead to exciting primaries coming up in California, New Jersey, Iowa, Montana, and South Dakota.

People in this episode

Host: Henry Olsen

Guest: James Kanagasooriam

Topics covered

  • polling
  • public opinion
  • politics
  • elections
  • demographics
  • MAGA

Keywords

  • polling
  • public opinion
  • MAGA
  • Texas runoff
  • demographic biases
  • politically engaged voters

Mentioned in this episode

Organizations: Focaldata

Places: Texas, California, New Jersey, Iowa, Montana, South Dakota

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